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    Goteborg vs Malmo           Bookmark and Share

    Betting Preview on (27.04.) OK (+0.00)
    by Tipster Sweem

    The clash of the titans or the Swedish version of El classico – that is what we have on the plate on a Wednesday evening when we take our sights to Gothenburg to go in depth about this rival meeting. The rivalry is not due to geographical reasons, but simply because these sides are constantly debating about which team is the most successful one in Swedish football.

    Malmo entered this season with a record expensive squad, and expected to form some kind of dynasty with all their money gained from European success in recent years. We have tons of real life examples that proves that money is not a guarantee for success, and it appears that Malmo have been victims of that as well. After two shocking losses versus newcomer Jonkoping Sodra and Sundsvall, the coach Allan Kuhn appears to have given up on his idea of playing attractive and instead goes back to basics. Going back to basics means that Malmo put defense in the first seat, and it has been giving instant results with two straight 1-0 victories against good opposition (Elfsborg away and Djurgarden at home). It might not be pretty, but it brings in three points. Malmo were being out-countered in the first few rounds and conceded too many goals in order to win games and as a result, the team have come back down to earth and plays a smarter football with more possession but without any rush going forward. It has led to two very controlled performances without many scoring chances, but enough to win the games

    The recent performance against Djurgarden was very controlled and consisted of very few scoring chances. Not very surprisingly, it turned out to be a corner that won the game for Malmo after the physical defender Felipe Carvalho managed to put on a powerful header to make the stadium go ecstatic.

    For the visitors, central defender Rasmus Bengtsson (5/1) is out, while the same goes for captain and striker Markus Rosenberg (5/1) which is obvously a blow offensively

    For IFK Goteborg, this game is a rebound opportunity after dropping a 1-2 lead into a devastating 3-2 loss versus Orebro. It was a game where Goteborg were missing many defenders in particular and it turned out to be costly. The rivalry against Malmo is always infected and consist of many duels on the field and rarely the possession based football. The absolute main priority for both teams is not to lose this match which sets up for a careful approach. Neither side have looked particularly sharp offensively and especially Malmo have looked very toothless. Goteborg have a more threatening style with their cross balls into the box while Malmo are more patiently moving the ball from side to side, but first and foremost make sure to keep it clean at the back.

    The hosts have a brighter situation injury wise compared to their last match. The Icelandic international wing back Hjortur Hermansson is back in practice. If no surprises happen, the defensive line will consist close enough to what is regular for Goteborg at this stage.

    Goteborg conceded the least goals at home last season (8 in 15 matches) and have kept their identity. Malmo on the other hand have received much heat for their stumbling offense and purposely try to keep possession instead of getting into a back and forth type of game. This leads to all indicators pointing towards an intense match with much battle and two teams protecting their defenses. I am normally not a fan of predicting goals but at the current stage I find it unlikely to see a goal galore in this match, after two top teams who have experienced shaky starts, defense will be in first seat. I lean towards under 2.5 goals.

    stake: 10/10
    picks: Under 2.5 goals
    odds: 1
    ker: pinnacle

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